Agreements and disputes

Agreementsanddisputes

POLITICS

The climate crisis is a global problem, and its solution must also be global. Every country in the world needs to act to reduce emissions, but developed nations, the main drivers of the problem, must take the lead. This was the principle behind the first global political effort to combat global warming, the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), signed in 1992 in Rio de Janeiro.

The convention aims to prevent humanity's "dangerous interference" with the climate system. Since 1995, the UNFCCC has brought its member countries together every year to reach agreements on how to act, who does what, and who pays. These annual meetings are known as COPs, or Conferences of the Parties.

THE KYOTO PROTOCOL

At COP3 in Kyoto, Japan, in 1997, the first treaty to implement the Convention, the Kyoto Protocol was produced. It mandated that industrialized countries reduce their emissions by 5.2% by 2012 compared to 1990 levels. Kyoto came into force in 2005, but without the United States, the protocol lost its force. Meanwhile, driven by China's growth, developing countries became the world's largest emitters.

THE PARIS AGREEMENT

It took until COP21 in 2015 for a universal climate pact, the Paris Agreement, to be signed. Its goal is to stabilize global warming well below 20C, (preferably 1.50C), and neutralize emissions by mid-century. All countries are required to submit targets, known as NDCs (Nationally Determined Contributions), but each country is free to define its intended goals. Every five years, the collective ambition of the NDCs is reviewed and new targets are presented.

COP28: GLOBAL STOCKTAKE

In 2023, at COP28 in Dubai, the Global Stocktake, the first review of NDC ambitions, concluded that the world is far from the goal of stabilizing global warming at 1.50C and concluded that humanity needs a "just, orderly, and equitable transition away from fossil fuels." This was the first time that the gradual elimination of the main drivers of the climate crisis was mentioned in an international text for negotiation. The Global Stocktake was designed to inform the new cycle of NDCs for 2035, which would be presented in 2025, prior to the COP in Brazil.

COP30

In November 2025, negotiators from 197 countries will meet in Belém, Pará, for what is being called the "COP of implementation." COP30 must conclude some negotiations under the Paris Agreement, such as the global adaptation target, advance the so-called just transition, and present the world with a roadmap for mobilizing US$1.3 trillion annually to combat the climate crisis in poor countries. But Belém also needs to address the inadequacy of the NDCs presented this year—which still don't put us on the path to a safe climate—and advance a timetable for eliminating fossil fuels and deforestation.